12 May
2009
In my
last post, I talked about the common innovation metric Percentage of Revenue from New Products Released in the Past 5 Years and discussed it was a poor metric because it was not actionable or had a common interpretation. I would like to propose a modified metric that will eliminate these problems.
To recap the
Juicy Analytics blog pointed out that the four dimensions of a good metric are 1) Actionable; 2) Common Interpretation; 3) Accessible, Credible Data; and 4) Transparent, Simple Calculation.
By taking the data from the percentage of revenue from new products, one can construct a new metric that is Actionable and has a Common Interpretation: Annual Revenue Growth from New Products. What this metric attempts to do is to separate the annual revenue growth that came from new products (released in the past 5 years) and the revenue growth that came from the core (products release more than 5 years ago). The formula relationships is:
% of Annual Revenue Growth (ARG) = %ARG from New Products + %ARG from Core
Let's review the four dimensions and see how this metric will stack up:
- Actionable: While you will need to do some digging to better understand the source, the results are very consistent - if the %ARG from New Products increases that is good and if it decrease that is bad. A definite improvement from percentage of revenue from new products.
- Common Interpretation: Once people understand the metrics construction, it can be painfully clear what the metric is telling you.
- Credible, Actionable Data: Data is sourced from your financial system, so I hope that it is good data.
- Transparent, Simple Calculation: As I show below, the metric is slightly more difficult to construct, but once you understand the concept it is simple to construct.
To construct the metric:
To demonstrate the metric consider this example. A company has the following financial results in 2007 and 2008
|
|
2007 |
2008 |
| A. |
Annual Revenue |
2000 |
3000 |
| B. |
Revenue from New Products Released in the Previous 5 Years |
500 |
1200 |
| C. |
Revenue from Core Products (C=A-B) |
1500 |
1800 |
|
|
|
|
| D. |
Change in Annual Revenue (D=2008A - 2007A) |
|
1000 |
| E. |
Change in New Product Revenue (E=2008B - 2007B) |
|
700 |
| F. |
Change in Core Product Revenue (F=2008C - 2007C) |
|
300 |
|
|
|
|
| G. |
Annual Revenue Growth (G=D/2007A) |
|
50% |
| H. |
Annual Revenue Growth from New Products (H=E/2007A) |
|
35% |
| I. |
Annual Revenue Growth from Core Products (I=F/2007A) |
|
15% |
|
|
|
|
| J. |
Percentage of Annual Revenue from Products Released in the Previous 5 Years (J=B/A) |
25% |
40% |
Using the ARG from New Products metric it becomes clear where a companies revenue growth is coming from. An added bonus is that you also compute ARG from Core which in the
next post on using these metrics can be quite insightful.